Thông tin chi tiết
In comparative politics, an established finding-that economic development fosters democratic
performance-has recently come under challenge. We counter this challenge with a dynamic
pooled time series analysis of a major, but neglected data set from 131 nations. The final
generalized least squares-autoregressive moving averages estimates (N = 2,096) appear robust and
indicate strong economic development effects, dependent in part on the nation's position in the world
system. For the first time, rather hard evidence is offered on the causal relationship between economics
and democracy. According to Granger tests, economic development "causes" democracy, but
democracy does not "cause" economic development. Overall, the various tests would seem to advance
sharply the modeling of democratic performance.












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